NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht Prediction - September 11, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
NAC Breda
2:3
Jong Utrecht
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-0

Match Winner: Home1.31Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.29price rising, opened at 1.27
Draw5.65
Away8.25price falling, opened at 9.15

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.05price falling, opened at 1.06
Under 1.56.40price rising, opened at 6.10
Over 2.51.30price falling, opened at 1.32
Under 2.52.97price rising, opened at 2.88
Over 3.51.88price falling, opened at 1.92
Under 3.51.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Both teams to score
Yes1.59price falling, opened at 1.67
No2.21price rising, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -1.51.78
Away +1.51.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.0%Our score
  2. 2-08.9%Alternative
  3. 3-18.1%
  4. 3-08.1%
  5. 1-16.6%

Top five combined: 40.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNAC BredaxG2.72
AwayJong UtrechtxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.4%
6.6%
8.9%
8.1%
5.5%
3.0%
2.1%
1
2.4%
6.6%
9.0%
8.1%
5.5%
3.0%
2.1%
2
1.2%
3.3%
4.5%
4.1%
2.8%
1.5%
1.1%
3
0.4%
1.1%
1.5%
1.4%
0.9%
0.5%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.2%40.8% No
Over 1.5 88.6%11.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 71.8%28.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 51.0%49.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

NAC Breda win and over 2.5 goals57.9%
NAC Breda win and both teams score39.2%
Jong Utrecht win and over 2.5 goals7.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
NAC Breda or draw88.6%
Jong Utrecht or draw26.6%
Either team wins84.8%
Draw no bet: NAC Breda86.5%
Draw no bet: Jong Utrecht13.5%
NAC Breda win to nil34.2%
Jong Utrecht win to nil4.2%
Team goals
NAC Breda to score93.4%
Jong Utrecht to score63.4%
NAC Breda over 1.5 goals75.4%
Jong Utrecht over 1.5 goals26.6%
NAC Breda clean sheet36.6%
Jong Utrecht clean sheet6.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

Jong Utrecht: 5-3-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124