MVV Maastricht vs Almere City FC Prediction - September 11, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
MVV Maastricht
0:4
Almere City FC
Correct scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.46Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.86price falling, opened at 3.19
Draw3.68price falling, opened at 3.88
Away2.21price rising, opened at 1.99

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09price rising, opened at 1.07
Under 1.55.40price falling, opened at 5.70
Over 2.51.40price rising, opened at 1.36
Under 2.52.56price falling, opened at 2.70
Over 3.52.09price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 3.51.70price falling, opened at 1.75
Both teams to score
Yes1.38price rising, opened at 1.37
No2.81price falling, opened at 2.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.78price falling, opened at 1.94
Away -0.251.85price rising, opened at 1.70

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht vs Almere City FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Almere City FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • MVV Maastricht and Almere City FC average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-27.7%Our score
  2. 2-27.1%Alternative
  3. 1-16.6%
  4. 2-16.1%
  5. 1-35.9%

Top five combined: 33.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMVV MaastrichtxG1.86
AwayAlmere City FCxG2.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.5%
2.8%
2.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
1
3.5%
6.6%
6.1%
3.8%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.1%
7.7%
7.1%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
3
3.2%
5.9%
5.5%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.8%
3.4%
3.2%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
5
0.9%
1.6%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
6+
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 76.2%23.8% No
Over 1.5 92.1%7.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 78.7%21.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 60.1%39.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

MVV Maastricht win and over 2.5 goals26.0%
MVV Maastricht win and both teams score23.2%
Almere City FC win and over 2.5 goals41.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
MVV Maastricht or draw51.2%
Almere City FC or draw68.6%
Either team wins80.3%
Draw no bet: MVV Maastricht39.2%
Draw no bet: Almere City FC60.8%
MVV Maastricht win to nil8.3%
Almere City FC win to nil14.0%
Team goals
MVV Maastricht to score84.4%
Almere City FC to score90.2%
MVV Maastricht over 1.5 goals55.5%
Almere City FC over 1.5 goals67.4%
MVV Maastricht clean sheet9.8%
Almere City FC clean sheet15.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Prediction, preview and head to head: MVV Maastricht vs Almere City FC
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124