Emmen vs De Graafschap Prediction - September 11, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Emmen
1:2
De Graafschap
Correct scoreOur pick
2-2

Alternative:3-2

Goals: Over 2.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.71price falling, opened at 2.07
Draw4.07price falling, opened at 4.15
Away4.17price rising, opened at 2.86

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06price rising, opened at 1.04
Under 1.58.00price rising, opened at 7.10
Over 2.51.31price rising, opened at 1.26
Under 2.53.25price rising, opened at 3.20
Over 3.51.89price rising, opened at 1.78
Under 3.51.91price falling, opened at 1.98
Both teams to score
Yes1.36price rising, opened at 1.29
No2.99price falling, opened at 3.31
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.90
Away +0.751.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Emmen vs De Graafschap?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 2, with 3-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Emmen are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Emmen and De Graafschap average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-26.4%Our score
  2. 3-26.0%Alternative
  3. 2-15.9%
  4. 3-15.5%
  5. 2-34.6%

Top five combined: 28.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEmmenxG2.79
AwayDe GraafschapxG2.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7%
1.9%
2.7%
2.5%
1.8%
1.0%
0.7%
1
1.5%
4.2%
5.9%
5.5%
3.8%
2.1%
1.6%
2
1.6%
4.6%
6.4%
6.0%
4.2%
2.3%
1.7%
3
1.2%
3.3%
4.6%
4.3%
3.0%
1.7%
1.3%
4
0.6%
1.8%
2.5%
2.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.7%
5
0.3%
0.8%
1.1%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
0.3%
6+
0.1%
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 83.2%16.8% No
Over 1.5 95.8%4.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 87.2%12.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 73.0%27.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Emmen win and over 2.5 goals47.1%
Emmen win and both teams score41.1%
De Graafschap win and over 2.5 goals27.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals4.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Emmen or draw69.6%
De Graafschap or draw48.1%
Either team wins82.3%
Draw no bet: Emmen63.0%
Draw no bet: De Graafschap37.0%
Emmen win to nil10.7%
De Graafschap win to nil5.4%
Team goals
Emmen to score93.9%
De Graafschap to score88.6%
Emmen over 1.5 goals76.8%
De Graafschap over 1.5 goals63.9%
Emmen clean sheet11.4%
De Graafschap clean sheet6.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Emmen: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)De Graafschap: 4-3-3(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Emmen vs De Graafschap
Head to Head

Head to Head

Emmen vs De Graafschap: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 24, 2026Emmen1 - 0De Graafschap
September 5, 2025De Graafschap2 - 3Emmen
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124