Estrela vs SC Braga Prediction - September 10, 2026

Primeira LigaPortugalFull time
Estrela
2:1
SC Braga
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.31Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.90price rising, opened at 4.24
Draw3.86price rising, opened at 3.52
Away1.60price falling, opened at 1.87

Market move since Sep 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.18price falling, opened at 3.30
Over 2.52.01price rising, opened at 2.00
Under 2.51.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Over 3.53.38price rising, opened at 3.20
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes1.98price rising, opened at 1.86
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.97
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +11.75
Away -12.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Estrela vs SC Braga?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Estrela and SC Braga average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.5%Projected
  2. 1-18.7%Alternative
  3. 0-27.3%
  4. 1-36.9%
  5. 0-16.7%

Top five combined: 39.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEstrelaxG1.30
AwaySC BragaxG2.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.1%
4.0%
2.6%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.7%
8.7%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.3%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
5.3%
6.9%
4.5%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.9%
3.8%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.6%35.4% No
Over 1.5 86.3%13.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.7%32.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.1%53.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Estrela win and over 2.5 goals15.5%
Estrela win and both teams score13.9%
SC Braga win and over 2.5 goals43.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Estrela or draw42.3%
SC Braga or draw77.9%
Either team wins79.7%
Draw no bet: Estrela27.7%
Draw no bet: SC Braga72.3%
Estrela win to nil8.1%
SC Braga win to nil24.2%
Team goals
Estrela to score72.7%
SC Braga to score88.8%
Estrela over 1.5 goals37.3%
SC Braga over 1.5 goals64.3%
Estrela clean sheet11.2%
SC Braga clean sheet27.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

SC Braga: 3-4-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Estrela vs SC Braga
Head to Head

Head to Head

Estrela vs SC Braga: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 16, 2026SC Braga2 - 2Estrela
January 3, 2026Estrela3 - 3SC Braga
League Table

League Table

Primeira LigaPortugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15500111+1015
25410183+1513
35410145+913
4532093+611
5531173+410
6421131+27
7321053+27
8521268-27
9413098+16
10512258-35
11511335-24
12511368-24
135113412-84
14503246-23
155104211-93
16502327-52
175023510-52
185014011-111
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Primeira Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Porto55001111015
2Benfica54101831513
3Sporting CP5410145913
4Santa Clara532093611
5Arouca531173410
6GIL Vicente42113127
7SC Braga32105327
8Maritimo521268-27
9Estrela41309816
10Academico Viseu512258-35
11Guimaraes511335-24
12Nacional511368-24
13Moreirense5113412-84
14Famalicao503246-23
15Rio Ave5104211-93
16Estoril502327-52
17Alverca5023510-52
18Casa Pia5014011-111