CD Motagua vs Alianza Prediction - September 10, 2026

Concacaf Central American CupWorldFull time
CD Motagua
3:0
Alianza
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.49price falling, opened at 1.51
Draw3.64price rising, opened at 3.60
Away6.42price rising, opened at 6.20

Market move since Sep 10. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.14
Over 2.51.96
Under 2.51.74
Over 3.53.34
Under 3.51.24
Both teams to score
Yes2.01price rising, opened at 1.99
No1.69price falling, opened at 1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.78
Handicap
Home -11.89price falling, opened at 1.92
Away +11.79price rising, opened at 1.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Alianza?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: CD Motagua are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • CD Motagua and Alianza average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.3%Projected
  2. 1-011.8%Alternative
  3. 2-19.2%
  4. 2-08.9%
  5. 0-18.2%

Top five combined: 50.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCD MotaguaxG1.50
AwayAlianzaxG1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
12%
8.9%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.2%
12%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.3%
6.4%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.3%49.7% No
Over 1.5 72.2%27.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.8%53.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.2%74.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

CD Motagua win and over 2.5 goals27.3%
CD Motagua win and both teams score20.5%
Alianza win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
CD Motagua or draw73.8%
Alianza or draw52.1%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: CD Motagua64.6%
Draw no bet: Alianza35.4%
CD Motagua win to nil27.4%
Alianza win to nil14.4%
Team goals
CD Motagua to score77.8%
Alianza to score64.7%
CD Motagua over 1.5 goals44.4%
Alianza over 1.5 goals28.0%
CD Motagua clean sheet35.3%
Alianza clean sheet22.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: CD Motagua vs Alianza