Leicester vs Plymouth Prediction - September 1, 2026

League OneEnglandFull time
Leicester
2:0
Plymouth
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.99price rising, opened at 1.88
Draw3.68price rising, opened at 3.65
Away3.38price falling, opened at 3.83

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.10
Over 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.20price rising, opened at 2.14
Over 3.52.48price falling, opened at 2.54
Under 3.51.50price rising, opened at 1.41
Both teams to score
Yes1.59price rising, opened at 1.58
No2.28price rising, opened at 2.23
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.74
Away +0.252.10

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Leicester vs Plymouth?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Leicester are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Two divisions removed from where it used to play, Leicester has managed just 0.8 goals a game this season, and that number sits behind Superior's projection for the visit of Plymouth in League One on 1 September. The model projects a 1-1 draw, with a 1-0 Leicester win next in line, in a match where both sides have won only once in their last five.

Leicester have won one of their last five games, and needed just one goal to do it

That lone win, 1-0, sits alongside three defeats in Leicester's recent form, a rough return for a club playing two divisions below where it used to sit. Plymouth's underlying scoring rate of 2.0 goals a game is the stronger of the two numbers, but their most recent outing ended in a 2-4 home defeat, and they have won only two of their own last five. Neither side is short of goals conceded, which keeps Superior's projection tight rather than lopsided.

A 4-1 win two matches back is the outlier in Plymouth's recent form

A 4-1 win two matches back shows Plymouth can be a lot more direct than a 1-1 scoreline allows for, and a home side averaging under a goal a game is exactly the kind of opponent that invites a heavier scoreline. LOSES IF: either team scores twice or the match finishes level at 0-0, since both outcomes sit outside the tight 1-1 or 1-0 shape the projection is built around.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.8%Projected
  2. 1-012.0%Alternative
  3. 0-19.3%
  4. 2-18.8%
  5. 0-08.7%

Top five combined: 51.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLeicesterxG1.37
AwayPlymouthxG1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.7%
12%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.3%
13%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.9%
6.8%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.8%
2.4%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.9%51.1% No
Over 1.5 70.0%30.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 44.1%55.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 23.0%77.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Leicester win and over 2.5 goals23.7%
Leicester win and both teams score18.2%
Plymouth win and over 2.5 goals14.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Leicester or draw70.9%
Plymouth or draw56.1%
Either team wins73.0%
Draw no bet: Leicester60.2%
Draw no bet: Plymouth39.8%
Leicester win to nil25.8%
Plymouth win to nil16.6%
Team goals
Leicester to score74.7%
Plymouth to score65.5%
Leicester over 1.5 goals39.9%
Plymouth over 1.5 goals28.8%
Leicester clean sheet34.5%
Plymouth clean sheet25.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Leicester vs Plymouth
League Table

League Table

League OneEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431093+610
24301115+69
3421184+47
4421185+37
5421153+27
6421176+17
74211101007
8420295+46
9420296+36
10413065+16
1142024406
124202810-26
13412143+15
14311184+44
15311156-14
16411246-24
17411227-54
18411227-54
194112413-94
20403145-13
21403145-13
22410357-23
23403146-23
24402249-52
Relegation
League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Huddersfield431093610
2Sheffield Wednesday430111569
3Blackpool42118447
4Burton Albion42118537
5Barnsley42115327
6Cambridge United42117617
7Luton4211101007
8Leyton Orient42029546
9Stockport County42029636
10Notts County41306516
11Bradford42024406
12Mansfield Town4202810-26
13Leicester41214315
14Reading31118444
15Oxford United311156-14
16Plymouth411246-24
17Peterborough411227-54
18AFC Wimbledon411227-54
19Bromley4112413-94
20Doncaster403145-13
21Stevenage403145-13
22Wigan410357-23
23Milton Keynes Dons403146-23
24Wycombe402249-52