Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints Prediction - August 31, 2026

Premier LeagueWalesFull time
Caernarfon Town
2:3
The New Saints
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home5.59price rising, opened at 4.61
Draw3.94price falling, opened at 3.95
Away1.50price falling, opened at 1.59

Market move since Aug 31. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price rising, opened at 1.14
Under 1.54.25price falling, opened at 4.45
Over 2.51.61price rising, opened at 1.59
Under 2.52.16price falling, opened at 2.21
Over 3.52.49price rising, opened at 2.43
Under 3.51.42price falling, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.68price rising, opened at 1.60
No2.04price falling, opened at 2.18
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +11.81
Away -11.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: The New Saints are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Projected
  2. 0-18.7%Alternative
  3. 1-28.5%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 45.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCaernarfon TownxG1.37
AwayThe New SaintsxG1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
8.4%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
1
8.7%
12%
8.2%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.2%
8.5%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
3
2.9%
4.0%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.6%43.4% No
Over 1.5 76.7%23.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.8%47.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.6%69.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Caernarfon Town win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
Caernarfon Town win and both teams score18.2%
The New Saints win and over 2.5 goals23.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Caernarfon Town or draw61.6%
The New Saints or draw63.7%
Either team wins74.7%
Draw no bet: Caernarfon Town48.6%
Draw no bet: The New Saints51.4%
Caernarfon Town win to nil18.1%
The New Saints win to nil19.2%
Team goals
Caernarfon Town to score74.6%
The New Saints to score75.8%
Caernarfon Town over 1.5 goals39.8%
The New Saints over 1.5 goals41.4%
Caernarfon Town clean sheet24.2%
The New Saints clean sheet25.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
Head to Head

Head to Head

Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 27, 2026Caernarfon Town0 - 4The New Saints
February 20, 2026The New Saints2 - 1Caernarfon Town
November 28, 2025The New Saints2 - 0Caernarfon Town
November 4, 2025The New Saints3 - 0Caernarfon Town
October 7, 2025Caernarfon Town1 - 3The New Saints
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16600177+1018
26510163+1316
36501174+1315
46402167+912
56402159+612
66402137+612
76330105+512
86312810-210
96303119+29
1062228808
116213510-57
126105212-103
136024414-102
146015611-51
156015217-151
166006926-170
Europa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barry Town66001771018W
2The New Saints65101631316D
3GAP Connah S Quay FC65011741315L
4Cardiff MET6402167912W
5Caernarfon Town6402159612W
6Llandudno6402137612W
7Penybont6330105512D
8Colwyn Bay6312810-210W
9Airbus UK630311929W
10Cambrian & Clydach62228808L
11Briton Ferry6213510-57W
12Haverfordwest County AFC6105212-103L
13Ammanford AFC6024414-102L
14Flint Town United6015611-51L
15Trefelin6015217-151L
16Holywell6006926-170L