San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela Prediction - August 23, 2026
Torneo Federal AArgentinaFull time
San Martin Formosa
2:1
9 de Julio Rafaela
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.27Won
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: San Martin Formosa are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Model CS-3Methodology
Why this prediction
- San Martin Formosa and 9 de Julio Rafaela average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
Unlocked after full timePost match archive
Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-012.1%Projected
- 1-011.8%
- 2-19.7%
- 1-19.4%Alternative
- 3-08.3%
Top five combined: 51.3%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeSan Martin FormosaxG2.06
Away9 de Julio RafaelaxG0.80
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
12%
12%
8.3%
4.3%
1.8%
0.8%
1
4.6%
9.4%
9.7%
6.7%
3.4%
1.4%
0.7%
2
1.8%
3.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.4%
0.6%
0.3%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Market Probability View
Both teams to score Yes 48.1%51.9% No
Over 1.5 77.9%22.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.5%45.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.2%67.8% Under 3.5
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
San Martin Formosa win and over 2.5 goals42.7%
San Martin Formosa win and both teams score27.5%
9 de Julio Rafaela win and over 2.5 goals7.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.2%
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
San Martin Formosa or draw86.5%
9 de Julio Rafaela or draw33.4%
Either team wins80.1%
Draw no bet: San Martin Formosa83.1%
Draw no bet: 9 de Julio Rafaela16.9%
San Martin Formosa win to nil39.1%
9 de Julio Rafaela win to nil7.0%
Team goals
San Martin Formosa to score87.3%
9 de Julio Rafaela to score55.2%
San Martin Formosa over 1.5 goals61.0%
9 de Julio Rafaela over 1.5 goals19.2%
San Martin Formosa clean sheet44.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela clean sheet12.7%
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 30, 2025 | San Martin Formosa | 4 - 1 | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| November 23, 2025 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 - 1 | San Martin Formosa |
| August 24, 2025 | San Martin Formosa | 2 - 0 | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
League Table
League Table
Torneo Federal AArgentina · 2026/2027
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | 11 | ||
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 11 | ||
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | ||
| 1 | 6 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 3 | 6 | +1 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +2 | 9 | ||
| 4 | 5 | -3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 5 | +4 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 6 | 5 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 5 | -1 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 7 | 5 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 7 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 4 | -6 | 3 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -7 | 2 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 9 | 4 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 4 | -5 | 1 | ||
| 9 | 6 | -8 | 2 | ||
| 10 | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | WWDDD |
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | LLWLW |
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 | WLDWW |
| 1 | San Martín Mendoza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 | DDWLW |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Rincon | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 2 | Alvarado | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | DWLWD |
| 2 | Gimnasia Concepción | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 10 | LDWLL |
| 3 | Cipolletti | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Sol de América | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 3 | Defensores de Vilelas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 | LWLWL |
| 3 | Fundacion Amigos | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | DWDDW |
| 4 | Atenas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DDLWD |
| 4 | Costa Brava | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | LLWDW |
| 4 | Atletico Escobar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | DWDWL |
| 5 | Germinal de Rawson | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | DWWDD |
| 5 | El Linqueño | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 5 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Guillermo Brown | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 | WLWLL |
| 6 | Villa Mitre | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DLDLL |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | LLLWW |
| 7 | Sol de Mayo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | DLLWD |
| 7 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 | DDDDW |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 | DWWLW |
| 7 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | DDWLW |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 | WLWLW |
| 8 | Sportivo Belgrano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 | DDDDD |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 5 | DWLDL |
| 8 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DDDDD |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 2 | WWDWD |
| 9 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDDL |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LWLDD |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 2 | DLLLW |
| 10 | Santamarina | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | LDLLD |
