Maardu vs FC Tallinn Prediction - August 15, 2026

Esiliiga AEstoniaFull time
Maardu
1:0
FC Tallinn
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.21Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.50price falling, opened at 1.68
Draw4.93price rising, opened at 4.30
Away4.93price rising, opened at 3.82

Market move since Aug 13. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.08
Under 1.57.00
Over 2.51.27
Under 2.53.50
Over 3.51.69
Under 3.52.10
Both teams to score
Yes1.45
No2.63
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.87
Handicap
Home -1.251.93
Away +1.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Maardu vs FC Tallinn?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Maardu are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Maardu and FC Tallinn average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-26.9%Projected
  2. 2-26.7%Alternative
  3. 1-36.1%
  4. 2-36.0%
  5. 1-15.1%

Top five combined: 30.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMaarduxG1.94
AwayFC TallinnxG2.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.0%
1.9%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
1
2.6%
5.1%
5.0%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.3%
2
3.5%
6.9%
6.7%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
0.4%
3
3.2%
6.1%
6.0%
3.8%
1.9%
0.7%
0.3%
4
2.1%
4.1%
4.0%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
5
1.1%
2.2%
2.1%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
6+
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 79.8%20.2% No
Over 1.5 94.5%5.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 84.0%16.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 67.8%32.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Maardu win and over 2.5 goals24.0%
Maardu win and both teams score21.9%
FC Tallinn win and over 2.5 goals47.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Maardu or draw45.9%
FC Tallinn or draw72.3%
Either team wins81.9%
Draw no bet: Maardu33.9%
Draw no bet: FC Tallinn66.1%
Maardu win to nil5.8%
FC Tallinn win to nil13.4%
Team goals
Maardu to score85.6%
FC Tallinn to score93.2%
Maardu over 1.5 goals57.7%
FC Tallinn over 1.5 goals74.8%
Maardu clean sheet6.8%
FC Tallinn clean sheet14.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Maardu vs FC Tallinn
Head to Head

Head to Head

Maardu vs FC Tallinn: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 28, 2026FC Tallinn0 - 0Maardu
April 23, 2026Maardu1 - 1FC Tallinn
League Table

League Table

Esiliiga AEstonia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12617367538+3754
22714585128+2347
32613586242+2044
42612594337+641
526115104354-1138
626105114850-235
726111144952-334
82777133357-2428
92676134357-1427
102664163567-3222
Esiliiga A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Tartu Welco26173675383754LLWDW
2Viimsi27145851282347LWLDD
3Flora II26135862422044LWLDL
4Elva2612594337641DWWDL
5Maardu26115104354-1138WWLWD
6Tallinna Kalev26105114850-235WWLDW
7FCI Levadia II26111144952-334DWWWW
8FC Tallinn2777133357-2428WWLWL
9Nõmme United II2676134357-1427WLLDL
10Nõmme Kalju II2664163567-3222LLLDD