GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin Prediction - August 14, 2026

Premier LeagueWalesFull time
GAP Connah S Quay FC
6:0
Trefelin
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.71Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.33price rising, opened at 1.22
Draw5.12price falling, opened at 5.35
Away8.18price falling, opened at 10.70

Market move since Aug 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price rising, opened at 1.10
Under 1.55.00price falling, opened at 5.20
Over 2.51.45price rising, opened at 1.39
Under 2.52.63price rising, opened at 2.59
Over 3.52.13price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 3.51.67price falling, opened at 1.71
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
No1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -1.51.85
Away +1.51.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: GAP Connah S Quay FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • GAP Connah S Quay FC and Trefelin average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.3%Projected
  2. 0-110.4%Alternative
  3. 1-29.7%
  4. 0-28.9%
  5. 1-06.5%

Top five combined: 46.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGAP Connah S Quay FCxG1.09
AwayTrefelinxG1.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.0%
6.5%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
10%
11%
6.1%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
2
8.9%
9.7%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
5.1%
5.6%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.5%45.5% No
Over 1.5 77.1%22.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.3%46.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.1%68.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

GAP Connah S Quay FC win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC win and both teams score12.1%
Trefelin win and over 2.5 goals33.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw47.7%
Trefelin or draw76.1%
Either team wins76.2%
Draw no bet: GAP Connah S Quay FC31.4%
Draw no bet: Trefelin68.6%
GAP Connah S Quay FC win to nil11.8%
Trefelin win to nil27.7%
Team goals
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score66.3%
Trefelin to score82.2%
GAP Connah S Quay FC over 1.5 goals29.6%
Trefelin over 1.5 goals51.4%
GAP Connah S Quay FC clean sheet17.8%
Trefelin clean sheet33.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16600177+1018
26510163+1316
36501174+1315
46402167+912
56402159+612
66402137+612
76330105+512
86312810-210
96303119+29
1062228808
116213510-57
126105212-103
136024414-102
146015611-51
156015217-151
166006926-170
Europa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barry Town66001771018W
2The New Saints65101631316D
3GAP Connah S Quay FC65011741315L
4Cardiff MET6402167912W
5Caernarfon Town6402159612W
6Llandudno6402137612W
7Penybont6330105512D
8Colwyn Bay6312810-210W
9Airbus UK630311929W
10Cambrian & Clydach62228808L
11Briton Ferry6213510-57W
12Haverfordwest County AFC6105212-103L
13Ammanford AFC6024414-102L
14Flint Town United6015611-51L
15Trefelin6015217-151L
16Holywell6006926-170L