Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
- Correct score
- 0 - 2
- Alternative score
- 0 - 1
- Featured pick
- Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.28
Match analysis
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania on 24 September pairs two sides averaging an identical 0.6 goals a game this cycle, the lowest combined scoring rate of any fixture previewed today. Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick is priced at 1.28, with a 73 percent read from the model.
Both sides average the same 0.6 goals a game
That shared low scoring rate is unusual even by this fixture list's standards, the smallest combined figure previewed here. Liechtenstein have lost four of their last five, and Lithuania have managed only one win in the same span, both sides struggling to create rather than struggling to defend.
Lithuania have failed to score in three of their last five
Three blanks, two 0-2 defeats and a 0-0 draw, make up more than half of Lithuania's recent matches. Liechtenstein's defence, rated 5.8, is not a strong unit on the model's own scale, but an opponent scoreless in three of its last five matches is doing a lot of the work behind this total regardless.
The price already needs a higher hit rate than the model gives it
The 1.28 odd implies this needs to land close to four times in five to break even, a shade above the model's own 73 percent read, the most honest caveat available on this pick. The scoreline risk sits with Liechtenstein's one win in the sample, a 1-0, and their heaviest defeat, a 1-4: if either side's defence has an off night the way Liechtenstein's did there, the total clears 3.5 without needing much from the other end.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Bookmaker odds
Market move since Sep 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.
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Head to Head
These two have never met in our records.
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein | 0 - 2 | Cyprus |
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Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 29, 2026 | Lithuania | 0 - 2 | Georgia |
| March 26, 2026 | Moldova | 0 - 2 | Lithuania |
| November 13, 2025 | Lithuania | 0 - 0 | Israel |
| October 12, 2025 | Lithuania | 0 - 2 | Poland |
| October 9, 2025 | Finland | 2 - 1 | Lithuania |