Paranaque Patriots vs San Juan Knights basketball prediction

MPBL
Projected score
76-102
Home2%
Away98%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Paranaque Patriots vs San Juan Knights?

Basketball: Paranaque Patriots vs San Juan Knights (MPBL). Projected 76-102. San Juan Knights is favoured at 98%. Our projected total is 178 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: San Juan Knights by 26Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginParanaque PatriotsSan Juan Knights
Wins2%98%
By 6+1%93%
By 11+0%87%
By 16+0%77%
By 21+0%66%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Paranaque Patriots

Season record
3-23
Points per game
78.9
Points allowed
100.3
Rest
26 d
  1. L66-116Quezon Huskers
  2. L86-110Binan Tatak Gel
  3. L74-75Basilan Steel
  4. L80-91Meycauayan
  5. L76-130Zamboanga Sikat

San Juan Knights

Season record
20-5
Points per game
94.2
Points allowed
79.2
Rest
7 d
  1. W74-62Mindoro Tamaraws
  2. W78-71Batangas City
  3. L64-71Binan Tatak Gel
  4. W120-77Imus Braderhood
  5. W124-75Manila Batang Quiapo

Head to head

  1. Jun 7, 25Paranaque Patriots56San Juan Knights110

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology