Marikina Verdiamonds vs Bulacan Kuyas basketball prediction

MPBL
Marikina Verdiamonds
vs
Bulacan Kuyas
Projected score
85-85
Home48%
Away52%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Marikina Verdiamonds vs Bulacan Kuyas?

Basketball: Marikina Verdiamonds vs Bulacan Kuyas (MPBL). Projected 85-85. Bulacan Kuyas is favoured at 52%. Our projected total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: levelOur projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMarikina VerdiamondsBulacan Kuyas
Wins48%52%
By 6+35%39%
By 11+24%27%
By 16+16%18%
By 21+9%10%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Marikina Verdiamonds

Season record
7-17
Points per game
79.6
Points allowed
87.5
Rest
8 d
  1. L80-92Pasig City
  2. L69-87Pasay Voyagers
  3. W108-84Manila Batang Quiapo
  4. L69-71Mindoro Tamaraws
  5. L74-87Cebu Greats

Bulacan Kuyas

Season record
7-17
Points per game
81.7
Points allowed
87.3
Rest
13 d
  1. L80-91Meycauayan
  2. L84-110Abra Weavers
  3. W110-105Pasig City
  4. L79-97Mindoro Tamaraws
  5. L82-87Valenzuela City Darkhorse

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology