CD Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica basketball prediction

LNB
CD Puerto Varas
vs
Universidad Catolica
Projected scoreOur pick
83-73

Spread: Home -2.51.72

Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48
Away2.34
Total points 155.25
Over1.81
Under1.81
Spread -4.5
Home1.84
Away1.74

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for CD Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica?

Basketball: CD Puerto Varas vs Universidad Catolica (LNB). Projected 83-73. CD Puerto Varas is favoured at 77%. Our projected total is 156 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: CD Puerto Varas by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCD Puerto VarasUniversidad Catolica
Wins77%23%
By 6+63%13%
By 11+48%7%
By 16+33%3%
By 21+21%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

CD Puerto Varas

Season record
20-16
Points per game
80.4
Points allowed
80.1
Rest
4 d
  1. W83-62Universidad Catolica
  2. W95-79Espanol Osorno
  3. L69-96Valdivia
  4. L82-86Ancud
  5. W102-67Naviera Ulloa

Universidad Catolica

Season record
6-19
Points per game
76.3
Points allowed
83.6
Rest
4 d
  1. L62-83CD Puerto Varas
  2. L76-79Leones Quilpue
  3. L67-80Puente Alto CD
  4. L54-79Universidad de Concepcion
  5. L74-87Leones Quilpue

Head to head

  1. Sep 4, 26Universidad Catolica62CD Puerto Varas83
  2. Mar 16, 25CD Puerto Varas67Universidad Catolica49
  3. Mar 9, 25Universidad Catolica47CD Puerto Varas98

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology