Pelplin vs Politechnika Opolska basketball prediction

1 Liga
Pelplin
vs
Politechnika Opolska
Correct score
89-83
Home64%
Away36%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Pelplin vs Politechnika Opolska?

Basketball: Pelplin vs Politechnika Opolska (1 Liga). We make it 89-83. Pelplin is favoured at 64%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Pelplin by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPelplinPolitechnika Opolska
Wins64%36%
By 6+50%23%
By 11+36%13%
By 16+24%7%
By 21+14%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Pelplin

Rest
150 d
  1. L78-93Spojnia Stargard
  2. W83-76Spojnia Stargard
  3. L68-92Spojnia Stargard
  4. W87-84Spojnia Stargard
  5. L80-96Spojnia Stargard

Politechnika Opolska

Season record
0-1
Points per game
75
Points allowed
96
Rest
7 d
  1. L75-96Poznan
  2. L96-104Lancut
  3. L76-96GKS Tychy
  4. L82-98Starogard Gdanski
  5. W79-77Miners Katowice

Head to head

  1. Feb 22, 26Politechnika Opolska83Pelplin106
  2. Nov 2, 25Pelplin94Politechnika Opolska77
  3. Apr 5, 25Politechnika Opolska102Pelplin87
  4. Dec 28, 24Pelplin106Politechnika Opolska82
  5. Mar 17, 24Pelplin67Politechnika Opolska88

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology