Olomoucko vs NH Ostrava basketball prediction

NBL
Olomoucko
vs
NH Ostrava
Correct score
83-85
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Olomoucko vs NH Ostrava?

Basketball: Olomoucko vs NH Ostrava (NBL). We make it 83-85. NH Ostrava is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it NH Ostrava by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlomouckoNH Ostrava
Wins43%57%
By 6+31%43%
By 11+21%30%
By 16+13%20%
By 21+8%12%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Olomoucko

Season record
0-2
Points per game
67.5
Points allowed
96.5
Rest
3 d
  1. L54-100Pardubice
  2. L81-93Hradec Kralove
  3. L71-102NH Ostrava
  4. L77-81NH Ostrava
  5. L84-86Hradec Kralove

NH Ostrava

Season record
2-0
Points per game
87
Points allowed
76.5
Rest
3 d
  1. W85-76Brno Basket
  2. W89-77Opava
  3. L70-116Nymburk
  4. L71-93Nymburk
  5. L67-101Nymburk

Head to head

  1. Apr 24, 26Olomoucko71NH Ostrava102
  2. Apr 22, 26NH Ostrava81Olomoucko77
  3. Nov 23, 25NH Ostrava77Olomoucko68
  4. Oct 4, 25Olomoucko89NH Ostrava83
  5. Dec 10, 24Olomoucko95NH Ostrava80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology