Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Pallacanestro basketball prediction

Lega A
Olimpia Milano
vs
Trieste Pallacanestro
Correct score
92-80
Home83%
Away17%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Pallacanestro?

Basketball: Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Pallacanestro (Lega A). We make it 92-80. Olimpia Milano is favoured at 83%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Olimpia Milano by 12Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOlimpia MilanoTrieste Pallacanestro
Wins83%17%
By 6+71%8%
By 11+55%3%
By 16+38%1%
By 21+23%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Olimpia Milano

Rest
6 d
  1. W94-87Venezia
  2. W80-71Virtus Bologna
  3. W86-72Venezia
  4. L97-109Venezia
  5. W92-79Venezia

Trieste Pallacanestro

Rest
124 d
  1. L75-90Brescia
  2. W83-77Brescia
  3. L80-84Brescia
  4. L82-90Brescia
  5. W92-90Brescia

Head to head

  1. May 3, 26Olimpia Milano86Trieste Pallacanestro78
  2. Feb 18, 26Olimpia Milano94Trieste Pallacanestro86
  3. Nov 23, 25Trieste Pallacanestro86Olimpia Milano82
  4. Jan 26, 25Olimpia Milano87Trieste Pallacanestro74
  5. Sep 29, 24Trieste Pallacanestro84Olimpia Milano78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology