Mega Basket Belgrade vs U-BT Cluj-Napoca basketball prediction

ABA League
Mega Basket Belgrade
vs
U-BT Cluj-Napoca
Correct score
91-86
Home68%
Away32%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Mega Basket Belgrade vs U-BT Cluj-Napoca?

Basketball: Mega Basket Belgrade vs U-BT Cluj-Napoca (ABA League). We make it 91-86. Mega Basket Belgrade is favoured at 68%. Our predicted total is 177 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Mega Basket Belgrade by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMega Basket BelgradeU-BT Cluj-Napoca
Wins68%32%
By 6+50%19%
By 11+33%10%
By 16+19%4%
By 21+9%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Mega Basket Belgrade

Rest
137 d
  1. L95-99FMP Beograd
  2. L77-80FMP Beograd
  3. W98-89Borac Čačak
  4. W95-72Split KK
  5. L85-89Studentski Centar

U-BT Cluj-Napoca

Rest
115 d
  1. W74-72CSM Oradea
  2. W103-78CSM Oradea
  3. W88-83CSM Oradea
  4. L84-87CSM Oradea
  5. W103-83SCM Craiova

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology