MBA Moscow vs CSKA Moscow basketball prediction

VTB United League
MBA Moscow
vs
CSKA Moscow
Correct scoreOur pick
74-93

Spread: Away -131.52

Home6%
Away94%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home9.40
Away1.06
Total points 167
Over1.89
Under1.89
Spread +17.5
Home1.92
Away1.88

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for MBA Moscow vs CSKA Moscow?

Basketball: MBA Moscow vs CSKA Moscow (VTB United League). We make it 74-93. CSKA Moscow is favoured at 94%. Our predicted total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it CSKA Moscow by 19Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginMBA MoscowCSKA Moscow
Wins6%94%
By 6+3%86%
By 11+1%74%
By 16+0%60%
By 21+0%45%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

MBA Moscow

Rest
148 d
  1. L63-74Unics Kazan
  2. L63-83Unics Kazan
  3. L62-87Unics Kazan
  4. W79-61Samara
  5. L108-109CSKA Moscow

CSKA Moscow

Rest
6 d
  1. W79-59Unics Kazan
  2. L82-90Lokomotiv Kuban
  3. W92-81Igokea
  4. W102-76Unics Kazan
  5. W86-74Unics Kazan

Head to head

  1. Apr 19, 26CSKA Moscow109MBA Moscow108
  2. Mar 29, 26MBA Moscow65CSKA Moscow100
  3. Feb 18, 26MBA Moscow106CSKA Moscow109
  4. Dec 21, 25CSKA Moscow97MBA Moscow58
  5. Mar 22, 25CSKA Moscow90MBA Moscow62

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology