Lulea Stars Women vs Alvik 2 Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
Lulea Stars Women
vs
Alvik 2 Women
Correct score
66-65
Home49%
Away51%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Lulea Stars Women vs Alvik 2 Women?

Basketball: Lulea Stars Women vs Alvik 2 Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 66-65. Lulea Stars Women is favoured at 49%. Our predicted total is 131 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Lulea Stars Women by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLulea Stars WomenAlvik 2 Women
Wins49%51%
By 6+39%38%
By 11+28%27%
By 16+20%18%
By 21+13%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Lulea Stars Women

Rest
167 d
  1. W75-73Blackeberg Women
  2. W59-48Viby Women
  3. W58-44Umea Women
  4. W71-67Tureberg Women
  5. W74-73Lidingo Women

Alvik 2 Women

Season record
0-1
Points per game
64
Points allowed
68
Rest
7 d
  1. L64-68Blackeberg Women
  2. W67-61Blackeberg Women
  3. W67-56Tureberg Women
  4. L89-91Hammarby Women
  5. W84-47KFUM Uppsala Women

Head to head

  1. Mar 1, 25Lulea Stars Women65Alvik 2 Women55
  2. Dec 1, 24Alvik 2 Women68Lulea Stars Women89
  3. Apr 7, 24Alvik 2 Women64Lulea Stars Women71
  4. Dec 9, 23Lulea Stars Women81Alvik 2 Women88

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology