Kyoto Hannaryz vs Shiga basketball prediction

B League
Kyoto Hannaryz
vs
Shiga
Correct score
83-79
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Kyoto Hannaryz vs Shiga?

Basketball: Kyoto Hannaryz vs Shiga (B League). We make it 83-79. Kyoto Hannaryz is favoured at 58%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Kyoto Hannaryz by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKyoto HannaryzShiga
Wins58%42%
By 6+43%28%
By 11+29%16%
By 16+17%9%
By 21+10%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Kyoto Hannaryz

Rest
147 d
  1. W84-63Nagasaki
  2. L94-105Nagasaki
  3. L83-92Osaka
  4. W88-78Osaka
  5. L66-84Gunma Crane Thunders

Shiga

Rest
147 d
  1. L65-73Sun Rockers Shibuya
  2. W88-81Sun Rockers Shibuya
  3. L77-87Alvark
  4. L74-101Alvark
  5. L69-81Hiroshima Dragonflies

Head to head

  1. Oct 13, 25Shiga72Kyoto Hannaryz64
  2. Oct 12, 25Shiga92Kyoto Hannaryz71
  3. May 4, 25Kyoto Hannaryz76Shiga71
  4. May 3, 25Kyoto Hannaryz88Shiga82
  5. Mar 27, 25Shiga75Kyoto Hannaryz95

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology