KFUM Central Women vs Umea Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
KFUM Central Women
vs
Umea Women
Correct score
69-55
Home80%
Away20%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for KFUM Central Women vs Umea Women?

Basketball: KFUM Central Women vs Umea Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 69-55. KFUM Central Women is favoured at 80%. Our predicted total is 124 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it KFUM Central Women by 14Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKFUM Central WomenUmea Women
Wins80%20%
By 6+71%13%
By 11+60%8%
By 16+48%4%
By 21+37%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

KFUM Central Women

Rest
167 d
  1. W56-31Skuru Women
  2. W64-63Fryshuset Basket Women
  3. W71-52Viby Women
  4. L49-67Hammarby Women
  5. W76-58Lulea Stars Women

Umea Women

Season record
0-1
Points per game
60
Points allowed
71
Rest
7 d
  1. L60-71Fryshuset Basket Women
  2. L44-58Lulea Stars Women
  3. W65-55Ostersund 2 Women
  4. W69-64Tureberg Women
  5. L25-84Hammarby Women

Head to head

  1. Jan 18, 26KFUM Central Women64Umea Women60
  2. Oct 18, 25Umea Women38KFUM Central Women75
  3. Oct 20, 24Umea Women66KFUM Central Women67
  4. Sep 22, 24KFUM Central Women57Umea Women43

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology