JuVi Cremona vs Brindisi basketball prediction

Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
vs
Brindisi
Correct score
79-74
Home67%
Away33%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for JuVi Cremona vs Brindisi?

Basketball: JuVi Cremona vs Brindisi (Serie A2). We make it 79-74. JuVi Cremona is favoured at 67%. Our predicted total is 153 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it JuVi Cremona by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginJuVi CremonaBrindisi
Wins67%33%
By 6+52%19%
By 11+35%10%
By 16+21%4%
By 21+10%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

JuVi Cremona

Rest
147 d
  1. L75-81Avellino Basket
  2. W59-56Basket Torino
  3. W83-82Mestre
  4. L95-100Ruvo Di Puglia
  5. W93-62Roseto

Brindisi

Rest
135 d
  1. L69-77Verona
  2. W77-70Verona
  3. L71-86Verona
  4. L78-80Verona
  5. L74-76Ruvo Di Puglia

Head to head

  1. Jan 11, 26JuVi Cremona72Brindisi61
  2. Sep 28, 25Brindisi85JuVi Cremona60
  3. Mar 14, 25Brindisi89JuVi Cremona86
  4. Nov 6, 24JuVi Cremona81Brindisi97

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology