Huddinge vs Trelleborg basketball prediction

Superettan
Huddinge
vs
Trelleborg
Correct score
91-81
Home70%
Away30%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Huddinge vs Trelleborg?

Basketball: Huddinge vs Trelleborg (Superettan). We make it 91-81. Huddinge is favoured at 70%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Huddinge by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginHuddingeTrelleborg
Wins70%30%
By 6+58%20%
By 11+46%12%
By 16+34%6%
By 21+23%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Huddinge

Season record
1-0
Points per game
91
Points allowed
79
Rest
7 d
  1. W91-79Fryshuset Basket
  2. W73-64Eskilstuna
  3. L73-83Eskilstuna
  4. W95-87Eskilstuna
  5. W94-86Djurgarden

Trelleborg

Season record
0-1
Points per game
77
Points allowed
87
Rest
7 d
  1. L77-87Wetterbygden Stars
  2. W106-91AIK Basket
  3. L71-92AIK Basket
  4. L82-91Huddinge
  5. W109-102Fryshuset Basket

Head to head

  1. Mar 28, 26Huddinge91Trelleborg82
  2. Dec 6, 25Trelleborg80Huddinge93

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology