Fortitudo Bologna vs Ruvo Di Puglia basketball prediction

Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
vs
Ruvo Di Puglia
Correct score
86-71
Home89%
Away11%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Fortitudo Bologna vs Ruvo Di Puglia?

Basketball: Fortitudo Bologna vs Ruvo Di Puglia (Serie A2). We make it 86-71. Fortitudo Bologna is favoured at 89%. Our predicted total is 157 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Fortitudo Bologna by 15Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFortitudo BolognaRuvo Di Puglia
Wins89%11%
By 6+80%5%
By 11+66%2%
By 16+51%1%
By 21+34%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Fortitudo Bologna

Rest
124 d
  1. L73-86Verona
  2. L74-75Verona
  3. L59-60Verona
  4. W93-61Avellino Basket
  5. L67-76Avellino Basket

Ruvo Di Puglia

Rest
122 d
  1. W94-70Roseto
  2. L76-105Roseto
  3. L84-100Roseto
  4. W87-83Roseto
  5. W72-68Roseto

Head to head

  1. Feb 15, 26Ruvo Di Puglia83Fortitudo Bologna90
  2. Dec 21, 25Fortitudo Bologna91Ruvo Di Puglia54

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology