Cento vs Pesaro basketball prediction

Serie A2
Cento
vs
Pesaro
Correct score
84-79
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Cento vs Pesaro?

Basketball: Cento vs Pesaro (Serie A2). We make it 84-79. Cento is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Cento by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCentoPesaro
Wins66%34%
By 6+51%20%
By 11+34%10%
By 16+20%4%
By 21+10%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Cento

Rest
141 d
  1. W83-63Roseto
  2. W87-64Roseto
  3. W81-71Roseto
  4. W99-86Pistoia
  5. L69-80Basket Torino

Pesaro

Rest
130 d
  1. L78-91Rimini
  2. W96-94Rimini
  3. L75-93Rimini
  4. W94-79Rimini
  5. L89-99Rimini

Head to head

  1. Feb 7, 26Cento74Pesaro80
  2. Dec 14, 25Pesaro80Cento66
  3. Feb 19, 25Cento76Pesaro97
  4. Nov 17, 24Pesaro78Cento60

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology