Bonn Telekom Baskets vs SYNTAINICS MBC basketball prediction

BBL
Bonn Telekom Baskets
vs
SYNTAINICS MBC
Correct score
90-80
Home81%
Away19%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bonn Telekom Baskets vs SYNTAINICS MBC?

Basketball: Bonn Telekom Baskets vs SYNTAINICS MBC (BBL). We make it 90-80. Bonn Telekom Baskets is favoured at 81%. Our predicted total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bonn Telekom Baskets by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBonn Telekom BasketsSYNTAINICS MBC
Wins81%19%
By 6+68%11%
By 11+54%6%
By 16+39%3%
By 21+26%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bonn Telekom Baskets

Season record
1-0
Points per game
96
Points allowed
72
Rest
7 d
  1. W96-72Hamburg Towers
  2. L57-77Bayern Munich
  3. L69-91Bayern Munich
  4. L78-83Bayern Munich
  5. W66-63Wurzburg

SYNTAINICS MBC

Season record
0-1
Points per game
81
Points allowed
96
Rest
7 d
  1. L81-96Oldenburg
  2. W113-83BG Göttingen
  3. L78-85Trier
  4. L82-99Bamberg
  5. L75-80USC Heidelberg

Head to head

  1. Mar 8, 26Bonn Telekom Baskets88SYNTAINICS MBC72
  2. Oct 2, 25SYNTAINICS MBC84Bonn Telekom Baskets77
  3. May 11, 25SYNTAINICS MBC100Bonn Telekom Baskets94
  4. Sep 28, 24Bonn Telekom Baskets95SYNTAINICS MBC80
  5. Jan 26, 24SYNTAINICS MBC92Bonn Telekom Baskets100

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology