BK Svitavy vs MS Academy basketball prediction

1. Liga
BK Svitavy
vs
MS Academy
Correct score
91-80
Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for BK Svitavy vs MS Academy?

Basketball: BK Svitavy vs MS Academy (1. Liga). We make it 91-80. BK Svitavy is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it BK Svitavy by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBK SvitavyMS Academy
Wins73%27%
By 6+62%17%
By 11+50%10%
By 16+37%6%
By 21+26%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

BK Svitavy

Season record
1-0
Points per game
93
Points allowed
89
Rest
7 d
  1. W93-89Brno U23 Women
  2. L71-86Zlin
  3. W82-67Zlin
  4. L67-90Zlin
  5. W99-74Novy Jicin

MS Academy

Season record
0-1
Points per game
70
Points allowed
79
Rest
8 d
  1. L70-79Basketbal Olomouc
  2. W91-87Chomutov
  3. W79-56USK Prague B
  4. W98-87Sokol Prazsky
  5. L88-96CZ.Academy

Head to head

  1. Jan 18, 26MS Academy91BK Svitavy102
  2. Nov 2, 25BK Svitavy92MS Academy69

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology