BK Jindrichuv Hradec vs Valecnici Decin basketball prediction

1. Liga
BK Jindrichuv Hradec
vs
Valecnici Decin
Correct score
82-78
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for BK Jindrichuv Hradec vs Valecnici Decin?

Basketball: BK Jindrichuv Hradec vs Valecnici Decin (1. Liga). We make it 82-78. BK Jindrichuv Hradec is favoured at 58%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it BK Jindrichuv Hradec by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBK Jindrichuv HradecValecnici Decin
Wins58%42%
By 6+45%30%
By 11+33%20%
By 16+23%13%
By 21+14%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

BK Jindrichuv Hradec

Season record
1-0
Points per game
76
Points allowed
70
Rest
8 d
  1. W76-70Litomerice BK
  2. L69-79CZ.Academy
  3. L81-86USK Prague B
  4. W104-61Sokol Prazsky
  5. W97-63USK Prague B

Valecnici Decin

Season record
1-0
Points per game
84
Points allowed
75
Rest
8 d
  1. W84-75Polabi
  2. L80-86Zlin
  3. L78-93Zlin
  4. W85-65Pardubice 2
  5. W94-74Pardubice 2

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology