Basketball Braunschweig vs Rostock Seawolves basketball prediction

BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
vs
Rostock Seawolves
Correct score
88-87
Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Basketball Braunschweig vs Rostock Seawolves?

Basketball: Basketball Braunschweig vs Rostock Seawolves (BBL). We make it 88-87. Basketball Braunschweig is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Basketball Braunschweig by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBasketball BraunschweigRostock Seawolves
Wins55%45%
By 6+40%31%
By 11+27%20%
By 16+16%11%
By 21+9%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Basketball Braunschweig

Season record
1-0
Points per game
116
Points allowed
107
Rest
7 d
  1. W116-107Trier
  2. W87-67Bremerhaven
  3. W104-90Chemnitz 99 Niners
  4. L84-93Oldenburg
  5. W98-97MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg

Rostock Seawolves

Season record
1-0
Points per game
102
Points allowed
92
Rest
7 d
  1. W102-92Phoenix Hagen
  2. L81-90Hamburg Towers
  3. L69-76Trier
  4. W91-71MHP Riesen Ludwigsburg
  5. W103-71Hamburg Towers

Head to head

  1. Apr 1, 26Rostock Seawolves98Basketball Braunschweig78
  2. Oct 26, 25Basketball Braunschweig92Rostock Seawolves71
  3. May 8, 25Rostock Seawolves48Basketball Braunschweig67
  4. Dec 21, 24Basketball Braunschweig80Rostock Seawolves63
  5. May 5, 24Basketball Braunschweig76Rostock Seawolves70

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology