Basket Torino vs Mestre basketball prediction

Serie A2
Basket Torino
vs
Mestre
Correct score
80-73
Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Basket Torino vs Mestre?

Basketball: Basket Torino vs Mestre (Serie A2). We make it 80-73. Basket Torino is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 153 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Basket Torino by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBasket TorinoMestre
Wins73%27%
By 6+57%15%
By 11+41%7%
By 16+25%3%
By 21+14%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Basket Torino

Rest
150 d
  1. L56-59JuVi Cremona
  2. L66-80Sebastiani Rieti
  3. W80-69Cento
  4. L77-81Pesaro
  5. W77-69Ruvo Di Puglia

Mestre

Rest
154 d
  1. L82-83JuVi Cremona
  2. L82-90Libertas Livorno
  3. L68-87Verona
  4. L83-85Avellino Basket
  5. L81-95Rimini

Head to head

  1. Feb 15, 26Basket Torino75Mestre73
  2. Dec 27, 25Mestre74Basket Torino69

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology