Bahcesehir Kol. vs Fenerbahce basketball prediction

Super Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
vs
Fenerbahce
Correct scoreOur pick
82-81

Spread: Home +7.51.74

Home48%
Away52%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.84
Away1.35
Total points 160.5
Over1.83
Under1.83
Spread +5.5
Home1.85
Away1.81

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Bahcesehir Kol. vs Fenerbahce?

Basketball: Bahcesehir Kol. vs Fenerbahce (Super Ligi). We make it 82-81. Bahcesehir Kol. is favoured at 48%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bahcesehir Kol. by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBahcesehir Kol.Fenerbahce
Wins48%52%
By 6+32%35%
By 11+19%21%
By 16+10%11%
By 21+4%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Bahcesehir Kol.

Rest
108 d
  1. L71-80Beşiktaş
  2. L71-73Beşiktaş
  3. W98-95Beşiktaş
  4. W101-79Beşiktaş
  5. L79-82Beşiktaş

Fenerbahce

Rest
4 d
  1. W72-59Beşiktaş
  2. W77-75Beşiktaş
  3. W82-71Beşiktaş
  4. W93-68Beşiktaş
  5. L80-88Beşiktaş

Head to head

  1. May 16, 26Bahcesehir Kol.86Fenerbahce96
  2. Jan 11, 26Fenerbahce89Bahcesehir Kol.58
  3. Jun 9, 25Bahcesehir Kol.84Fenerbahce93
  4. Jun 7, 25Fenerbahce91Bahcesehir Kol.89
  5. Jun 5, 25Fenerbahce93Bahcesehir Kol.76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology