Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Beşiktaş basketball prediction

Super Ligi
Anadolu Efes Istanbul
vs
Beşiktaş
Correct score
85-80
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Beşiktaş?

Basketball: Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Beşiktaş (Super Ligi). We make it 85-80. Anadolu Efes Istanbul is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Anadolu Efes Istanbul by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAnadolu Efes IstanbulBeşiktaş
Wins65%35%
By 6+48%21%
By 11+31%11%
By 16+18%5%
By 21+9%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

Rest
7 d
  1. W88-82Lokomotiv Kuban
  2. W91-79Unics Kazan
  3. W100-76Zenit Petersburg
  4. L93-102Fenerbahce
  5. W102-93Fenerbahce

Beşiktaş

Rest
5 d
  1. L59-72Fenerbahce
  2. L75-77Fenerbahce
  3. L71-82Fenerbahce
  4. L68-93Fenerbahce
  5. W88-80Fenerbahce

Head to head

  1. Mar 15, 26Anadolu Efes Istanbul89Beşiktaş80
  2. Feb 20, 26Beşiktaş91Anadolu Efes Istanbul82
  3. Nov 9, 25Beşiktaş78Anadolu Efes Istanbul69
  4. Jun 14, 25Beşiktaş82Anadolu Efes Istanbul75
  5. Jun 12, 25Anadolu Efes Istanbul64Beşiktaş75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology