ŁKS Łódź vs GKS Tychy basketball prediction

1 Liga
ŁKS Łódź
vs
GKS Tychy
Correct score
86-78
Home68%
Away32%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for ŁKS Łódź vs GKS Tychy?

Basketball: ŁKS Łódź vs GKS Tychy (1 Liga). We make it 86-78. ŁKS Łódź is favoured at 68%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it ŁKS Łódź by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginŁKS ŁódźGKS Tychy
Wins68%32%
By 6+54%20%
By 11+40%11%
By 16+27%5%
By 21+17%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

ŁKS Łódź

Rest
122 d
  1. L87-96Bydgoszcz
  2. W88-69Bydgoszcz
  3. L74-81Bydgoszcz
  4. L64-84Bydgoszcz
  5. W85-71Bydgoszcz

GKS Tychy

Season record
0-1
Points per game
81
Points allowed
83
Rest
7 d
  1. L81-83Spojnia Stargard
  2. L74-89ŁKS Łódź
  3. L66-80ŁKS Łódź
  4. L79-83ŁKS Łódź
  5. W79-68ŁKS Łódź

Head to head

  1. Apr 26, 26GKS Tychy74ŁKS Łódź89
  2. Apr 25, 26GKS Tychy66ŁKS Łódź80
  3. Apr 19, 26ŁKS Łódź83GKS Tychy79
  4. Apr 18, 26ŁKS Łódź68GKS Tychy79
  5. Apr 8, 26ŁKS Łódź82GKS Tychy86

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology