Zadar KK vs Samobor KK basketball prediction

Premijer liga
Zadar KK
vs
Samobor KK
Correct score
88-74
Home83%
Away17%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Zadar KK vs Samobor KK?

Basketball: Zadar KK vs Samobor KK (Premijer liga). We make it 88-74. Zadar KK is favoured at 83%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Zadar KK by 14Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginZadar KKSamobor KK
Wins83%17%
By 6+73%9%
By 11+60%4%
By 16+45%2%
By 21+32%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Zadar KK

Rest
107 d
  1. L75-82Cibona Zagreb
  2. L67-73Cibona Zagreb
  3. W87-70Cibona Zagreb
  4. W92-57Cibona Zagreb
  5. L72-74Cibona Zagreb

Samobor KK

Rest
2 d
  1. L83-103BC Prievidza
  2. L69-77KK Dubrovnik
  3. L81-86KK Dubrovnik
  4. W110-91Dinamo Zagreb
  5. W76-66Dubrava Zagreb

Head to head

  1. Apr 29, 26Samobor KK84Zadar KK88
  2. Jan 9, 26Zadar KK84Samobor KK67
  3. Oct 17, 25Samobor KK80Zadar KK99
  4. Dec 16, 24Samobor KK55Zadar KK87

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology