Venezia vs Pallacanestro Cantù basketball prediction

Lega A
Venezia
vs
Pallacanestro Cantù
Correct score
91-83
Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Venezia vs Pallacanestro Cantù?

Basketball: Venezia vs Pallacanestro Cantù (Lega A). We make it 91-83. Venezia is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Venezia by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginVeneziaPallacanestro Cantù
Wins73%27%
By 6+58%14%
By 11+41%6%
By 16+25%2%
By 21+14%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Venezia

Rest
6 d
  1. L87-94Olimpia Milano
  2. W98-90Tortona
  3. L72-86Olimpia Milano
  4. W109-97Olimpia Milano
  5. L79-92Olimpia Milano

Pallacanestro Cantù

Rest
146 d
  1. L72-80Treviso
  2. L83-95APU Udine
  3. W100-96Pallacanestro Varese
  4. L79-89Virtus Bologna
  5. W80-78Sassari

Head to head

  1. Jan 31, 26Pallacanestro Cantù81Venezia86
  2. Dec 7, 25Venezia101Pallacanestro Cantù95

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology