Utsunomiya Brex vs Yokohama B-Corsairs basketball prediction

B League
Utsunomiya Brex
vs
Yokohama B-Corsairs
Correct score
85-79
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Utsunomiya Brex vs Yokohama B-Corsairs?

Basketball: Utsunomiya Brex vs Yokohama B-Corsairs (B League). We make it 85-79. Utsunomiya Brex is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Utsunomiya Brex by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUtsunomiya BrexYokohama B-Corsairs
Wins66%34%
By 6+52%21%
By 11+36%12%
By 16+23%6%
By 21+13%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Utsunomiya Brex

Rest
138 d
  1. L66-75Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
  2. L82-89Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
  3. L70-92Ryukyu Golden Kings
  4. W83-82Ryukyu Golden Kings
  5. W90-74Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Yokohama B-Corsairs

Rest
146 d
  1. L84-88Brave Thunders
  2. L71-74Brave Thunders
  3. W86-75Sendai 89ers
  4. L94-100Sendai 89ers
  5. L77-101Chiba

Head to head

  1. Apr 1, 26Yokohama B-Corsairs71Utsunomiya Brex95
  2. Nov 5, 25Utsunomiya Brex86Yokohama B-Corsairs76
  3. Dec 8, 24Yokohama B-Corsairs60Utsunomiya Brex101
  4. Dec 7, 24Yokohama B-Corsairs80Utsunomiya Brex72
  5. Dec 3, 23Yokohama B-Corsairs57Utsunomiya Brex76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology