Unics Kazan vs Parma Perm basketball prediction

VTB United League
Unics Kazan
vs
Parma Perm
Correct scoreOur pick
82-77

Total Points: Under 1651.86

Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.16price rising, opened at 1.08
Away5.25price falling, opened at 5.86
Total points 164.5 line moved from 165.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -11.5
Home1.90price rising, opened at 1.83
Away1.90price rising, opened at 1.83

Market move since Sep 23. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Unics Kazan vs Parma Perm?

Basketball: Unics Kazan vs Parma Perm (VTB United League). We make it 82-77. Unics Kazan is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Unics Kazan by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUnics KazanParma Perm
Wins66%34%
By 6+51%21%
By 11+36%12%
By 16+23%6%
By 21+13%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Unics Kazan

Rest
6 d
  1. L59-79CSKA Moscow
  2. L79-91Anadolu Efes Istanbul
  3. W78-73Zenit Petersburg
  4. L76-102CSKA Moscow
  5. L74-86CSKA Moscow

Parma Perm

Rest
146 d
  1. L82-87Lokomotiv Kuban
  2. L76-79Lokomotiv Kuban
  3. L80-93Lokomotiv Kuban
  4. L88-95Lokomotiv Kuban
  5. W73-60Saratov

Head to head

  1. Mar 19, 26Parma Perm80Unics Kazan77
  2. Feb 12, 26Unics Kazan74Parma Perm72
  3. Nov 22, 25Parma Perm90Unics Kazan82
  4. Sep 28, 25Unics Kazan103Parma Perm83
  5. Mar 8, 25Unics Kazan89Parma Perm71

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology