TalTech vs Rigas Zelli basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
TalTech
vs
Rigas Zelli
Correct score
81-87
Home31%
Away69%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for TalTech vs Rigas Zelli?

Basketball: TalTech vs Rigas Zelli (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 81-87. Rigas Zelli is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Rigas Zelli by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginTalTechRigas Zelli
Wins31%69%
By 6+20%54%
By 11+12%39%
By 16+6%25%
By 21+3%15%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

TalTech

Rest
2 d
  1. W95-94Fyllingen Basket
  2. W97-77Parnu
  3. W79-72Parnu
  4. W88-85Parnu
  5. L82-95BC Kalev/Cramo

Rigas Zelli

Rest
134 d
  1. W93-80VEF Riga
  2. W112-100VEF Riga
  3. L84-94VEF Riga
  4. L93-98Valmiera Glass VIA
  5. W107-62Valmiera Glass VIA

Head to head

  1. Mar 2, 26TalTech86Rigas Zelli95
  2. Dec 6, 25Rigas Zelli96TalTech65
  3. Dec 14, 24Rigas Zelli82TalTech62
  4. Oct 30, 24TalTech76Rigas Zelli113
  5. Jan 17, 24TalTech72Rigas Zelli89

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology