Studentski Centar vs Subotica basketball prediction

ABA League
Studentski Centar
vs
Subotica
Correct scoreOur pick
81-78

Spread: Home +4.51.53

Home62%
Away38%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.88
Away1.78
Total points 156.5
Over1.85
Under1.81
Spread +1.5
Home1.78
Away1.88

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Studentski Centar vs Subotica?

Basketball: Studentski Centar vs Subotica (ABA League). We make it 81-78. Studentski Centar is favoured at 62%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Studentski Centar by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginStudentski CentarSubotica
Wins62%38%
By 6+44%24%
By 11+27%13%
By 16+15%6%
By 21+7%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Studentski Centar

Rest
114 d
  1. L84-94Buducnost VOLI Podgorica
  2. L81-104Buducnost VOLI Podgorica
  3. W97-83KK Sutjeska
  4. W73-59Zadar KK
  5. W102-84KK Sutjeska

Subotica

Rest
118 d
  1. W76-73FMP Beograd
  2. W90-89Crvena zvezda
  3. W75-68Borac Čačak
  4. W83-66Borac Čačak
  5. L84-88Dubai

Head to head

  1. Mar 30, 26Subotica77Studentski Centar71
  2. Feb 13, 26Studentski Centar83Subotica77
  3. Sep 26, 24Studentski Centar84Subotica76

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology