PS Karlsruhe Lions vs Nurnberger basketball prediction

Pro A
PS Karlsruhe Lions
vs
Nurnberger
Correct score
80-82
Home45%
Away55%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for PS Karlsruhe Lions vs Nurnberger?

Basketball: PS Karlsruhe Lions vs Nurnberger (Pro A). We make it 80-82. Nurnberger is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Nurnberger by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPS Karlsruhe LionsNurnberger
Wins45%55%
By 6+32%40%
By 11+20%27%
By 16+12%17%
By 21+6%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

PS Karlsruhe Lions

Rest
137 d
  1. L70-79Phoenix Hagen
  2. L73-108Phoenix Hagen
  3. L66-90Phoenix Hagen
  4. W89-74Paderborn
  5. L90-96BG Göttingen

Nurnberger

Rest
147 d
  1. W85-74Wolmirstedt
  2. W83-71RheinStars Köln
  3. W70-69BG Göttingen
  4. L73-81Bremerhaven
  5. W99-58Bochum

Head to head

  1. Mar 6, 26PS Karlsruhe Lions75Nurnberger69
  2. Nov 9, 25Nurnberger87PS Karlsruhe Lions69
  3. Mar 7, 25PS Karlsruhe Lions97Nurnberger73
  4. Dec 7, 24Nurnberger70PS Karlsruhe Lions63
  5. Apr 20, 24PS Karlsruhe Lions91Nurnberger74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology