Parnu vs BK Liepāja basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
vs
BK Liepāja
Correct score
84-80
Home59%
Away41%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Parnu vs BK Liepāja?

Basketball: Parnu vs BK Liepāja (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 84-80. Parnu is favoured at 59%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Parnu by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginParnuBK Liepāja
Wins59%41%
By 6+45%28%
By 11+32%17%
By 16+20%9%
By 21+12%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Parnu

Rest
2 d
  1. L67-80Neftchi IK Baku
  2. L77-97TalTech
  3. L72-79TalTech
  4. L85-88TalTech
  5. L72-76Tartu Ulikool

BK Liepāja

Rest
2 d
  1. L69-92Tindastoll
  2. L74-106Rigas Zelli
  3. L92-102Rigas Zelli
  4. L69-97Rigas Zelli
  5. L74-86VEF Riga

Head to head

  1. Jan 14, 26Parnu85BK Liepāja69
  2. Nov 23, 25BK Liepāja83Parnu90
  3. Mar 11, 25BK Liepāja98Parnu84
  4. Oct 19, 24Parnu81BK Liepāja91
  5. Feb 10, 24Parnu83BK Liepāja79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology