Norrort vs Wetterbygden Stars basketball prediction

Superettan
Norrort
vs
Wetterbygden Stars
Correct score
86-80
Home63%
Away37%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Norrort vs Wetterbygden Stars?

Basketball: Norrort vs Wetterbygden Stars (Superettan). We make it 86-80. Norrort is favoured at 63%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Norrort by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNorrortWetterbygden Stars
Wins63%37%
By 6+51%25%
By 11+38%16%
By 16+27%9%
By 21+17%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Norrort

Season record
1-0
Points per game
100
Points allowed
73
Rest
7 d
  1. W100-73Cross Over
  2. L78-87KFUM Fryshuset
  3. L74-81Sloga Uppsala
  4. L77-89KFUM Fryshuset
  5. L67-88Helsingborg BBK

Wetterbygden Stars

Season record
1-0
Points per game
87
Points allowed
77
Rest
7 d
  1. W87-77Trelleborg
  2. L60-81Alvik
  3. W71-69Alvik
  4. W66-65Huddinge
  5. L62-98Alvik

Head to head

  1. Mar 9, 24Norrort69Wetterbygden Stars92
  2. Feb 10, 24Wetterbygden Stars81Norrort71

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology