Nancy U21 vs Paris U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Nancy U21
vs
Paris U21
Correct score
74-80
Home31%
Away69%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Nancy U21 vs Paris U21?

Basketball: Nancy U21 vs Paris U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 74-80. Paris U21 is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 154 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Paris U21 by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNancy U21Paris U21
Wins31%69%
By 6+20%54%
By 11+11%39%
By 16+6%26%
By 21+3%16%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Nancy U21

Rest
133 d
  1. W81-78Saint-Quentin U21
  2. L65-81Cholet U21
  3. L64-106Le Mans U21
  4. L72-84Chalon/Saone U21
  5. L76-82Le Portel U21

Paris U21

Rest
133 d
  1. W91-80Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
  2. L80-90Monaco U21
  3. W94-77Chalon/Saone U21
  4. L69-73Nanterre U21
  5. L75-102Cholet U21

Head to head

  1. Feb 7, 26Paris U2189Nancy U2171
  2. Dec 13, 25Nancy U2167Paris U2162
  3. May 17, 25Nancy U21107Paris U2171
  4. Oct 30, 24Paris U2181Nancy U2185
  5. Mar 20, 24Paris U2168Nancy U2187

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology