Lulea 2 Women vs Alvik 2 Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
Lulea 2 Women
vs
Alvik 2 Women
Correct score
68-67
Home48%
Away52%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Lulea 2 Women vs Alvik 2 Women?

Basketball: Lulea 2 Women vs Alvik 2 Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 68-67. Lulea 2 Women is favoured at 48%. Our predicted total is 135 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Lulea 2 Women by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLulea 2 WomenAlvik 2 Women
Wins48%52%
By 6+38%39%
By 11+28%28%
By 16+19%19%
By 21+12%12%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Lulea 2 Women

Rest
167 d
  1. L60-87Hammarby Women
  2. L73-78Lidingo Women
  3. W79-71Tureberg Women
  4. L77-89Lidingo Women
  5. L60-63Ostersund 2 Women

Alvik 2 Women

Season record
0-1
Points per game
64
Points allowed
68
Rest
7 d
  1. L64-68Blackeberg Women
  2. W67-61Blackeberg Women
  3. W67-56Tureberg Women
  4. L89-91Hammarby Women
  5. W84-47KFUM Uppsala Women

Head to head

  1. Mar 2, 25Lulea 2 Women52Alvik 2 Women74
  2. Oct 27, 24Alvik 2 Women57Lulea 2 Women64
  3. Oct 29, 23Lulea 2 Women42Alvik 2 Women85
  4. Sep 16, 23Alvik 2 Women71Lulea 2 Women48

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology