Lobos Plateados vs Mineros basketball prediction

LNBP
Lobos Plateados
vs
Mineros
Correct score
87-83
Home57%
Away43%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Lobos Plateados vs Mineros?

Basketball: Lobos Plateados vs Mineros (LNBP). We make it 87-83. Lobos Plateados is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 170 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Lobos Plateados by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLobos PlateadosMineros
Wins57%43%
By 6+42%29%
By 11+28%17%
By 16+17%9%
By 21+9%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Lobos Plateados

Season record
14-8
Points per game
84
Points allowed
81.1
Rest
4 d
  1. W99-84Santos
  2. W95-86Santos
  3. W80-67Abejas
  4. W91-87Abejas
  5. L86-90Freseros de Irapuato

Mineros

Season record
12-10
Points per game
87.1
Points allowed
85
Rest
4 d
  1. W87-85Gambusinos
  2. L89-96Gambusinos
  3. L84-87Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
  4. W101-100Fuerza Regia de Monterrey
  5. W98-85Diablos Rojos

Head to head

  1. Aug 10, 24Lobos Plateados86Mineros82
  2. Aug 9, 24Lobos Plateados91Mineros103

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology