Kecioren Baglum vs Darussafaka basketball prediction

TBL
Kecioren Baglum
vs
Darussafaka
Correct score
83-75
Home78%
Away22%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Kecioren Baglum vs Darussafaka?

Basketball: Kecioren Baglum vs Darussafaka (TBL). We make it 83-75. Kecioren Baglum is favoured at 78%. Our predicted total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Kecioren Baglum by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKecioren BaglumDarussafaka
Wins78%22%
By 6+64%12%
By 11+47%6%
By 16+32%3%
By 21+20%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Kecioren Baglum

Season record
1-1
Points per game
83
Points allowed
77
Rest
6 d
  1. L84-86Fenerbahce 2
  2. W82-68Gaziantep
  3. L85-88Sakarya BB
  4. W75-66Akhisar Belediye
  5. W89-65Akhisar Belediye

Darussafaka

Season record
1-1
Points per game
68
Points allowed
76.5
Rest
6 d
  1. W67-65Balıkesir BŞB
  2. L69-88Ankara Kolejliler
  3. L80-84CO Basket
  4. W110-105Ankara Kolejliler
  5. L65-83Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology