Inowroclaw vs R. Rzeszow basketball prediction

1 Liga
Inowroclaw
vs
R. Rzeszow
Correct score
83-78
Home61%
Away39%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Inowroclaw vs R. Rzeszow?

Basketball: Inowroclaw vs R. Rzeszow (1 Liga). We make it 83-78. Inowroclaw is favoured at 61%. Our predicted total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Inowroclaw by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginInowroclawR. Rzeszow
Wins61%39%
By 6+47%25%
By 11+33%15%
By 16+21%8%
By 21+12%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Inowroclaw

Season record
1-0
Points per game
80
Points allowed
66
Rest
7 d
  1. W80-66WKK Wroclaw
  2. L67-81Spojnia Stargard
  3. L68-79WKK Wroclaw
  4. W79-70Pelplin
  5. W95-71Kotwica Kołobrzeg

R. Rzeszow

Season record
0-1
Points per game
80
Points allowed
94
Rest
5 d
  1. L80-94Kotwica Kołobrzeg
  2. W101-78Pelplin
  3. W77-75Poznan
  4. L76-84Zubry Bialystok
  5. W88-75Bydgoszcz

Head to head

  1. Feb 8, 26Inowroclaw89R. Rzeszow55
  2. Oct 18, 25R. Rzeszow83Inowroclaw79
  3. Mar 8, 25R. Rzeszow85Inowroclaw81
  4. Dec 1, 24Inowroclaw90R. Rzeszow88

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology