Gravelines-Dunkerque vs Le Mans basketball prediction

LNB
Correct score
85-88
Home38%
Away62%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Gravelines-Dunkerque vs Le Mans?

Basketball: Gravelines-Dunkerque vs Le Mans (LNB). We make it 85-88. Le Mans is favoured at 62%. Our predicted total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Le Mans by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGravelines-DunkerqueLe Mans
Wins38%62%
By 6+25%47%
By 11+15%32%
By 16+8%20%
By 21+4%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Rest
132 d
  1. L78-95JL Bourg
  2. L80-85Nanterre 92
  3. L79-88Lyon-Villeurbanne
  4. L83-96Le Mans
  5. L64-93Limoges CSP

Le Mans

Rest
121 d
  1. L55-64Nanterre 92
  2. L74-90Nanterre 92
  3. W101-84Limoges CSP
  4. W88-85Saint Quentin
  5. W102-74Nancy SLUC

Head to head

  1. Apr 18, 26Gravelines-Dunkerque83Le Mans96
  2. Dec 20, 25Le Mans87Gravelines-Dunkerque66
  3. Apr 13, 25Gravelines-Dunkerque91Le Mans85
  4. Jan 10, 25Le Mans83Gravelines-Dunkerque78
  5. Jan 13, 24Le Mans78Gravelines-Dunkerque68

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology