Gravelines-Dunkerque U21 vs Le Mans U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Gravelines-Dunkerque U21
vs
Le Mans U21
Correct score
74-85
Home20%
Away80%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Gravelines-Dunkerque U21 vs Le Mans U21?

Basketball: Gravelines-Dunkerque U21 vs Le Mans U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 74-85. Le Mans U21 is favoured at 80%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Le Mans U21 by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginGravelines-Dunkerque U21Le Mans U21
Wins20%80%
By 6+12%67%
By 11+6%52%
By 16+3%37%
By 21+1%24%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Gravelines-Dunkerque U21

Rest
132 d
  1. L72-83JL Bourg U21
  2. L67-70Nanterre U21
  3. L78-99Lyon-Villeurbanne U21
  4. L78-98Monaco U21
  5. W76-74Le Mans U21

Le Mans U21

Rest
119 d
  1. L70-88Strasbourg U21
  2. W84-62Limoges CSP U21
  3. W100-88Saint-Quentin U21
  4. W106-64Nancy U21
  5. W109-72Saint-Quentin U21

Head to head

  1. Apr 18, 26Gravelines-Dunkerque U2176Le Mans U2174
  2. Dec 20, 25Le Mans U2178Gravelines-Dunkerque U2173
  3. Apr 11, 25Gravelines-Dunkerque U2164Le Mans U2188
  4. Jan 10, 25Le Mans U2183Gravelines-Dunkerque U2176
  5. Jan 13, 24Le Mans U2199Gravelines-Dunkerque U2187

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology